Award Winning Blog

Showing posts with label hipster economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hipster economics. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 5, 2020

Hipster and Geriatric Antitrust Doctrine

Relentless concentration in broadband and other industries, coupled with ever increasing market power, has triggered more interest in antitrust law and policy.  Predictably, this increased scrutiny generates questions about the viability of case precedent and the empirical “proof” supporting policy.  It also encourages advocates—with a political agenda—to argue for maintenance of the status quo, or substantial change.

The “stay the course” camp sees no need to change doctrine, despite the Internet’s ascendency and the significant difference between “bricks and mortar” commerce and e-commerce.  These mandarins disparage advocates for change and dismiss anything new as “hipster,” undisciplined and wrong.  They have received millions of dollars to spread their gospel, early and often.

The insurgent group plays into the hands of status quo thinkers when their progressive goals subverts, subordinates, or ignores the core mission of antitrust law: to remedy market failures generated by single companies or cartels who use market dominance, conspiracies and other bad actions to harm competition and consumers.  Insurgents also muddy their message when they combine normative goals, inherent in antitrust enforcement, with public policy objectives well outside the antitrust enforcement mission.

A pox on both houses!  The mandarins act as though Chicago School doctrine operates as unimpeachable law.  They see no need to recalibrate and modify based on changed circumstances.  They make no distinction between downward price trends in bricks and mortar markets and the perception of “free” and enhanced value proposition from broadband-mediated services that require no cash payment, but extract great and sellable value from data mining.
The insurgents play into the hands of the mandarins when they lack the discipline and intellectual rigor needed to show the wisdom in incremental adjustments based on changed circumstances.  They become easy targets by pushing normative goals, baked into the antitrust regime, into a progressive, social policy agenda.

I seethe when reading arrogant, inflexible, hubristic and condescending hipster antitrust critiques.  I dismiss as naive, undisciplined and ineffectual the insurgents’ wish list for antirust enforcement.  The incumbents may not win on points, but they appear to have won in courts, legislatures and classrooms.  They have powerful and rich incumbents underwriting their academic work.  That investment has paid handsome dividends.

For example, the FCC and Justice Department continue to approve mergers and acquisitions that trigger “Defcon4” alerts about extreme market concentration.  Somehow, basic economics about market power and concentration do not matter if sponsored researchers can show how consumers theoretically benefit.

One can easily declare a winner when judges and their clerks, well versed in Chicago School doctrine, cannot understand that “free” does not mean without significantly high  individual and social costs.

Sunday, July 26, 2020

When Economist-Created “Rules” and “Laws” Do Not Work or Are Forgotten



            Having frequently chatted with economists and read many textbooks and articles on economic subjects, I marvel at the absolute certainty in answers offered to various thorny questions.  Economists like to create rules and laws that provide certain solutions, if only the public and politicians followed their lead.

            It should come as no surprise that absolute economic gospel truth fails both in terms of practical application and even adherence by economists.  Suddenly a firm rule has exceptions, or an economist conveniently forgets the widespread acceptance of the rule.  This dismissive attitude greatly contrasts with the conventional attitude that economics is a legitimate science. And of course, economists know best.

            Several questions about economic doctrinal certainty and amnesia come to mind having read a New York Times article on sponsored briefings of foreign antitrust enforcement agency officials.  See https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/24/technology/global-antitrust-institute-google-amazon-qualcomm.html.  In Big Tech Funds a Think Tank Pushing for Fewer Rules. For Big Tech, Daisuke Wakabayashi reports that firms, such as Amazon, Google and Qualcomm contribute six figure sums for antirust law and policy briefings organized by institutes and foundations affiliated with George Mason University’s Antonin Scalia Law School.

            Have both teacher and student forgotten one of the most fundamental rules of economics that “there is no such thing as a free lunch”? The article reports on the high quality and cost of the venues hosting the conferences and the meals served.  Such opulence juxtaposes with the conferences I pay to attend.  I am used to rubber chicken, or self-catering in places like Dallas in August and Louisville in March.  Next month, I will participate in a virtual conference and still had to pay $250 for the opportunity to present an academic paper via Zoom.  Obviously, I hang out with wrong class of people.

            Who, other than the sponsors and the sponsored organizers and participants, can ignore the no free lunch rule?  There’s a quid pro quo here, not that there’s anything illegal about it. What unnerves me is the apparent obliviousness of all involved to a straightforward rule of economics and human behavior.

            While apparently exempt from the no free lunch rule, organizers of the conferences surely do not forget to preach the gospel certainty of Chicago School antitrust policy.  This economic doctrine, now widely embraced by judges and their law clerks, proscribes sanctioning any behavior—no matter how much it concentrates a market or bolsters the market power of an incumbent—if some enhancement of consumer welfare occurs.  Chicago School devotees concentrate on consumers’ out of pocket costs and point to declining, or zero costs as proof positive that a particular market is thriving.  They conveniently ignore offsetting costs like that occurring in the broadband mediated marketplace when platform operators mine data and sell the surveillance data to advertisers and data analytics firms.  Oh, and let us not forget the costs to society when privacy, trust, belief in the rule of law and confidence in the integrity of elections become questionable.

            The Chicago School doctrine has become unimpeachable, no doubt validated and revalidated in the numerous free conferences sponsored by stakeholders who fund non-profit academic institutes that organize law and economics conferences.  Some of these events reimburse all travel expenses and pay several thousand dollar honorariums to speakers and paper presenters.  Sweet indeed.

            What is unsweet and intellectually questionable in my view is the apparent adamancy with which Chicago School acolytes embrace the doctrine, even as they ignore the free lunch rule. Anyone who dares to suggest modification or exceptions to the Chicago School rules is branded an advocate of “Hipster Antitrust,” as though their insights were nothing more than trendy, undisciplined analysis.

            I will stop with one more question about seemingly unquestionable economic rules: if demand substantially drops for a good or service and the incremental cost to serve one additional customer is tiny, then why do the airlines refrain from sizably discounting fares?