Wireless
subscribers face the cross-currents of access to an ever increasing inventory
of full motion video content at the same time as wireless carriers have forced
them to subscribe to a metered service with a monthly cap on downloads, including
streaming video. Content providers, such
as ESPN, are exploring the prospect of subsidizing wireless carrier
transmission charges to abate the prospect of overages, or throttled
service.
Smart
move on ESPN’s part to enhance the value proposition of its increasingly
expensive product. ESPN may have read
the tea leaves and become convinced that it better do something to stem the
tide of cord cutters disinclined to pay for dozens of channels, including its
expanding bundle of channels, combined by cable companies into a content tier
nearing or exceeding $100 a month.
Additionally ESPN understands that if it expects cable subscribers to
pay at least $5.00 a month for its content, then it better respond to their
expectation of having access anytime, anywhere, via any device and in multiple
formats. Today’s video consumer has no
tolerance for the old school “appointment television” model where the content
provider and its distributor established the terms and conditions for one time
access on a particular channel at a particular time.
ESPN
also understands that the small bandwidth delivery payments it may opt to make
will pale in comparison to the additional revenue stream generated by mobile
advertising. Multiple access platforms to
ESPN content means that subscribers will have more opportunities to see ESPN
content—including repeat or repurposed content—and also ESPN-carried
advertising. Also the bulk capacity ESPN
may buy will not cost anything near what individual subscribers pay on a
megabyte or gigabyte basis.
So
far so good, but might there be a network neutrality/open Internet regulatory
problem? An article in the Wall Street Journal today correctly reported that the FCC has
created different and less burdensome rules for wireless broadband carriers
than their wireline counterparts. One
might not object to pricing experimentation with wireless carriers increasingly
deviating from the same price points and service classifications. However, the ESPN subsidy scenario does raise
questions.
Will
wireless and wireline broadband carriers use the ESPN subsidy model as the
basis for demanding surcharges from heavy volume content providers such as
Google and Youtube? Would the ESPN
subsidy model morph into a “pay to play” shakedown targeting new ventures
seeking to make a splash? Or is this
model nothing more than an extension of what Amazon currently does when you
want to download a book purchase wirelessly?
Amazon looks for a zero cost wi-fi option, but failing that the company will
bear, without a surcharge, the cost of cellular radio carriage to Kindles equipped
to receive such signals.
When
Comcast offered not to debit downloads of its video on demand service to Xbox360
users, the company insisted that it was not discriminating against viewers via
conventional computers. Comcast asserted
it routed movies to XBoxs via a specialized network somehow different than the
Internet cloud it uses to deliver the very same content to personal computers
and tablets. Under the existing rules wireless
carriers would not have to claim that they routed ESPN subsidized traffic over
something specialized. But what would
happen if the ESPN payment guaranteed “better than best efforts” traffic
routing possibility leading to a measurable and identifiable difference between
the subscriber viewing experience for ESPN content versus Fox and other sources
of competing content?
Stay
tuned.
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